NHL weekly recap: week of 2026-10-12 (2026-27)
Hit rate this week: 65% across 49 games; season-to-date: 59%. Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as model accuracy.
Biggest upset
The model's favorite lost at 73% — final CBJ 3–FLA 7
- Injuries (favors CBJ)
- Home Field Advantage (favors CBJ)
- Recent Form (favors CBJ)
| Game | Pre-game | Final | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers at Sabres Mon, Oct 12 | BUF 40% • FLA 60% | BUF 5–FLA 3 | Miss |
| Senators at Devils Mon, Oct 12 | NJD 61% • OTT 39% | NJD 1–OTT 4 | Miss |
| Golden Knights at Wild Tue, Oct 13 | MIN 38% • VGK 62% | MIN 4–VGK 2 | Miss |
| Devils at Red Wings Tue, Oct 13 | DET 59% • NJD 41% | DET 4–NJD 5 | Miss |
| Panthers at Blue Jackets Tue, Oct 13 | CBJ 73% • FLA 27% | CBJ 3–FLA 7 | Miss |
| Sabres at Canadiens Tue, Oct 13 | MTL 62% • BUF 38% | MTL 4–BUF 3 | Hit |
| Capitals at Hurricanes Tue, Oct 13 | CAR 59% • WSH 41% | CAR 4–WSH 2 | Hit |
| Kraken at Flyers Tue, Oct 13 | PHI 41% • SEA 59% | PHI 2–SEA 3 | Hit |
| Lightning at Rangers Tue, Oct 13 | NYR 65% • TBL 35% | NYR 4–TBL 1 | Hit |
| Blues at Senators Tue, Oct 13 | OTT 63% • STL 37% | OTT 2–STL 7 | Miss |
| Canucks at Islanders Tue, Oct 13 | NYI 72% • VAN 28% | NYI 3–VAN 2 | Hit |
| Penguins at Blackhawks Wed, Oct 14 | CHI 54% • PIT 46% | CHI 5–PIT 3 | Hit |
| Wild at Jets Wed, Oct 14 | WPG 59% • MIN 41% | WPG 5–MIN 2 | Hit |
| Golden Knights at Predators Wed, Oct 14 | NSH 58% • VGK 42% | NSH 2–VGK 5 | Miss |
| Avalanche at Stars Wed, Oct 14 | DAL 43% • COL 57% | DAL 2–COL 3 | Hit |
| Maple Leafs at Utah Hockey Club Wed, Oct 14 | UTA 74% • TOR 26% | UTA 5–TOR 4 | Hit |
| Flames at Ducks Wed, Oct 14 | ANA 59% • CGY 41% | ANA 2–CGY 4 | Miss |
| Oilers at Kings Wed, Oct 14 | LAK 53% • EDM 47% | LAK 1–EDM 4 | Miss |
| Bruins at Sharks Wed, Oct 14 | SJS 40% • BOS 60% | SJS 3–BOS 6 | Hit |
| Canadiens at Capitals Wed, Oct 14 | WSH 71% • MTL 29% | WSH 5–MTL 4 | Hit |
| Stars at Avalanche Thu, Oct 15 | COL 64% • DAL 36% | COL 2–DAL 3 | Miss |
| Sabres at Maple Leafs Thu, Oct 15 | TOR 57% • BUF 43% | TOR 4–BUF 5 | Miss |
| Islanders at Senators Thu, Oct 15 | OTT 54% • NYI 46% | OTT 2–NYI 1 | Hit |
| Canucks at Panthers Thu, Oct 15 | FLA 59% • VAN 41% | FLA 3–VAN 2 | Hit |
| Kraken at Lightning Thu, Oct 15 | TBL 63% • SEA 37% | TBL 4–SEA 3 | Hit |
| Rangers at Devils Thu, Oct 15 | NJD 40% • NYR 60% | NJD 7–NYR 1 | Miss |
| Flyers at Red Wings Thu, Oct 15 | DET 57% • PHI 43% | DET 2–PHI 1 | Hit |
| Jets at Blackhawks Fri, Oct 16 | CHI 65% • WPG 35% | CHI 4–WPG 3 | Hit |
| Blues at Wild Fri, Oct 16 | MIN 51% • STL 49% | MIN 5–STL 4 | Hit |
| Sharks at Predators Fri, Oct 16 | NSH 68% • SJS 32% | NSH 2–SJS 3 | Miss |
| Utah Hockey Club at Oilers Fri, Oct 16 | EDM 45% • UTA 55% | EDM 2–UTA 4 | Hit |
| Flames at Golden Knights Fri, Oct 16 | VGK 69% • CGY 31% | VGK 6–CGY 2 | Hit |
| Penguins at Avalanche Sat, Oct 17 | COL 58% • PIT 42% | COL 5–PIT 2 | Hit |
| Bruins at Ducks Sat, Oct 17 | ANA 40% • BOS 60% | ANA 2–BOS 4 | Hit |
| Devils at Capitals Sat, Oct 17 | WSH 56% • NJD 44% | WSH 4–NJD 2 | Hit |
| Hurricanes at Jets Sat, Oct 17 | WPG 33% • CAR 67% | WPG 2–CAR 3 | Hit |
| Canucks at Lightning Sat, Oct 17 | TBL 79% • VAN 21% | TBL 4–VAN 2 | Hit |
| Kraken at Panthers Sat, Oct 17 | FLA 51% • SEA 49% | FLA 8–SEA 3 | Hit |
| Stars at Blackhawks Sat, Oct 17 | CHI 64% • DAL 36% | CHI 0–DAL 4 | Miss |
| Sabres at Canadiens Sat, Oct 17 | MTL 57% • BUF 43% | MTL 4–BUF 3 | Hit |
| Islanders at Maple Leafs Sat, Oct 17 | TOR 43% • NYI 57% | TOR 1–NYI 4 | Hit |
| Senators at Flyers Sat, Oct 17 | PHI 37% • OTT 63% | PHI 3–OTT 1 | Miss |
| Sharks at Red Wings Sat, Oct 17 | DET 47% • SJS 53% | DET 4–SJS 3 | Miss |
| Rangers at Blue Jackets Sat, Oct 17 | CBJ 52% • NYR 48% | CBJ 1–NYR 0 | Hit |
| Blues at Predators Sun, Oct 18 | NSH 65% • STL 35% | NSH 5–STL 2 | Hit |
| Bruins at Kings Sun, Oct 18 | LAK 38% • BOS 63% | LAK 1–BOS 4 | Hit |
| Oilers at Utah Hockey Club Sun, Oct 18 | UTA 68% • EDM 32% | UTA 2–EDM 6 | Miss |
| Penguins at Golden Knights Sun, Oct 18 | VGK 74% • PIT 26% | VGK 6–PIT 2 | Hit |
| Blue Jackets at Wild Sun, Oct 18 | MIN 55% • CBJ 45% | MIN 2–CBJ 1 | Hit |