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Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Predators logo
Predators
Nashville
2
vs
NSH 58%42% VGK
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Nashville Predators 58% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Predators:

  • Injuries. Predators healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Golden Knights 2 out, 0 doubtful
  • Rest Days. Predators rest advantage (3 days rest) over Golden Knights (1 day rest)
  • Home Field Advantage. Predators are 2-2 at home this season; Golden Knights are 4-1 on the road

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VenueBridgestone Arena
Nashville, TN

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Golden Knights (away)
Predators (home)
42%
Win probability
58%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Golden Knights defeated the Predators 5-2.

Our model predicted the Predators would win with 58% confidence, but the Golden Knights pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Predators and was a major factor: Predators healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Golden Knights 2 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights (5-2) in better form than Predators (2-1)
  • ELO Rating favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Predators ELO 1479 vs Golden Knights ELO 1554 (diff: -75)
  • The Golden Knights are without 2 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Golden Knights won 2-5

Golden Knights won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Predators at 58%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Nashville Predators
  • Recent FormFavors Vegas Golden Knights
  • ELO RatingFavors Vegas Golden Knights
  • Rest DaysFavors Nashville Predators
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Nashville Predators
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

VGK
NSH
Injuries
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Rest Days
Home Field Advantage
Favours VGK|Favours NSH

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Predators healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Golden Knights 2 out, 0 doubtful

Predators
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/14/2026, 12:30:03 AM

Key Players

Golden Knights

Carter HartG
Adin HillG
Kai UchaczC
William KarlssonC
Tanner LaczynskiC

Predators

Juuse SarosG
Matt MurrayG
Justus AnnunenG
Ross ColtonC
Ryan O'ReillyC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Predators has a 58% win probability, while Golden Knights has a 42% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, TN.

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