NHL2026-27 season
Carolina Hurricanes vs Washington Capitals
Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
50%
1 of 2 decided games
Meetings graded
2
2026-27
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Carolina Hurricanes
- Home Field Advantage — Hurricanes are 4-2 at home this season; Blackhawks are 0-6 on the road
- ELO Rating — Hurricanes ELO 1602 vs Blackhawks ELO 1428 (diff: +174)
- Recent Form — Hurricanes (8-2) in better form than Blackhawks (3-7)
Washington Capitals
- Home Field Advantage — Capitals are 6-2 at home this season; Panthers are 4-6 on the road
- Injuries — Capitals less affected by injuries: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Panthers 4 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Panthers players matter more
- ELO Rating — Capitals ELO 1555 vs Panthers ELO 1505 (diff: +50)
Get the weekly model report card
Every Monday: last week's hit rate, Brier score, and the model's biggest misses. One email a week.