New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Red Wings:
- Rest Days. Red Wings rest advantage (2 days rest) over Devils (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage. Red Wings are 2-4 at home this season; Devils are 1-2 on the road
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Devils defeated the Red Wings 5-4.
Our model predicted the Red Wings would win with 59% confidence, but the Devils pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Rest Days favored the Red Wings and was a major factor: Red Wings rest advantage (2 days rest) over Devils (back-to-back)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Red Wings and was a notable factor: Red Wings are 2-4 at home this season; Devils are 1-2 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Devils and was a contributing factor: Devils (2-3) in better form than Red Wings (1-3)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Red Wings have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Devils have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Devils won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Rest DaysFavors Detroit Red Wings
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
- Recent FormFavors New Jersey Devils
- ELO RatingFavors New Jersey Devils
- InjuriesFavors New Jersey Devils
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest Days
Red Wings rest advantage (2 days rest) over Devils (back-to-back)
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Devils
Red Wings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Red Wings has a 59% win probability, while Devils has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.