Detroit Red Wings at Montreal Canadiens
Detroit Red Wings 54% to win. The biggest signal favoring Red Wings:
- Injuries. Red Wings healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 6 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Canadiens defeated the Red Wings 1-0.
Our model predicted the Red Wings would win with 54% confidence, but the Canadiens pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Red Wings and was a major factor: Red Wings healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Canadiens are 3-2 at home this season; Red Wings are 1-1 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Rest Days favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Canadiens rest advantage (2 days rest) over Red Wings (1 day rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Canadiens have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Red Wings have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Canadiens won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Detroit Red Wings
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Montreal Canadiens
- Rest DaysFavors Montreal Canadiens
- ELO RatingFavors Montreal Canadiens
- Recent FormNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Red Wings healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 6 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Red Wings
Canadiens
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Canadiens has a 46% win probability, while Red Wings has a 54% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC.