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Minnesota Wild at Florida Panthers

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Panthers logo
Panthers
Florida
1
vs
Wild logo
Wild
Minnesota
4
FLA 68%32% MIN
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Florida Panthers 68% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Panthers:

  • Injuries. Panthers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Panthers are 1-1 at home this season; Wild are 1-4 on the road
  • Rest Days. Panthers rest advantage (3 days rest) over Wild (1 day rest)

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VenueAmerant Bank Arena
Sunrise, FL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Wild (away)
Panthers (home)
32%
Win probability
68%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Wild defeated the Panthers 4-1.

Our model predicted the Panthers would win with 68% confidence, but the Wild pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Panthers and was a major factor: Panthers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Panthers and was a notable factor: Panthers are 1-1 at home this season; Wild are 1-4 on the road
  • Rest Days favored the Panthers and was a contributing factor: Panthers rest advantage (3 days rest) over Wild (1 day rest)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Panthers have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Wild have 5.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Wild won 1-4

Wild won in a close game

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Panthers at 68%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Florida Panthers
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Florida Panthers
  • Rest DaysFavors Florida Panthers
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

MIN
FLA
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours MIN|Favours FLA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Panthers

Our Model68%

Wild

Our Model32%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Panthers healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 4 out, 0 doubtful

Panthers
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/10/2026, 9:45:02 PM

Key Players

Wild

Jesper WallstedtG
Calvin PickardG
Yakov TreninC
Nico SturmC
Michael McCarronC

Panthers

Jacob MarkstromG
Akira SchmidG
Sam BennettC
Carter VerhaegheC
Lars EllerC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Panthers has a 68% win probability, while Wild has a 32% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL.

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