NHL2026-27 season
Dallas Stars vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.
Most recent meeting
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
This season
2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.
Model record on this matchup
Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.
Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
1
Favorite won
Factor comparison
Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.
Dallas Stars
- Home Field Advantage — Stars are 5-2 at home this season; Sharks are 5-4 on the road
- ELO Rating — Stars ELO 1523 vs Sharks ELO 1458 (diff: +65)
- Recent Form — Stars (6-3) in better form than Sharks (6-4)
Pittsburgh Penguins
- Recent Form — Penguins (4-6) in better form than Kings (2-4)
- ELO Rating — Kings ELO 1470 vs Penguins ELO 1491 (diff: -21)
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