Dallas Stars at Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Penguins:
- Recent Form. Penguins (2-1) in better form than Stars (1-2)
- Home Field Advantage. Penguins are 2-2 at home this season; Stars are 2-1 on the road
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Game Preview
Stars at Penguins
The Stars visit the Penguins at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA in 2027-2028 NHL regular play.
Our model gives the Penguins a 59% chance of winning, making this a competitive contest. The Stars will need to find an edge to pull off the upset.
Key factors driving this prediction:
- Recent Form favors the Penguins (low): Penguins (2-1) in better form than Stars (1-2)
- Home Field Advantage favors the Penguins (low): Penguins are 2-2 at home this season; Stars are 2-1 on the road
- ELO Rating is neutral: Penguins ELO 1511 vs Stars ELO 1499 (diff: +12)
is favored to win
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Stars
Penguins
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Penguins has a 59% win probability, while Stars has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, PA.