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Scheduled
Lightning
Tampa Bay
59%
Slight Lean
vs
Wild
Minnesota
41%
TBL vs MINbreakdown →
NHLEastern • Atlantic
Tampa Bay Lightning
Eastern Conference • Atlantic Division
Record
2-1
Division
Atlantic
Conference
Eastern
Upcoming
4 games
Next Game Prediction
vs Minnesota Wild • Thu, Oct 8 11:00 PM
59%
win probability
Model accuracy on Tampa Bay Lightning: 40% (5 games)
Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Tampa Bay Lightning - 2027 Season
157315231473
Current Elo
1523
Season Change
+0
Season High
1523
Season Low
1523
Avg Change
+6.8
Games
1
Model vs. Market History
Tampa Bay Lightning - 2027 Season
Avg Edge
-17%
Model Edge Record
0-0
Model Edge Win %
-
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | Islanders | A | 50% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Oct 8 | Wild | H | 59% | - | - | Scheduled |
| Oct 5 | Flyers | H | 61% | 66% | -5% | WIN✓ |
| Oct 3 | Capitals | H | 41% | 64% | -24% | WIN✗ |
| Oct 1 | Rangers | A | 36% | 57% | -22% | LOSS✓ |
| Sep 26 | Panthers | A | 41% | - | - | WIN✗ |
| Sep 24 | Panthers | H | 63% | - | - | LOSS✗ |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Upcoming Games
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Recent Games
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Frequently Asked Questions
The Tampa Bay Lightning play in the Eastern conference, Atlantic division.
The Lightning play their home games in Tampa Bay.
We analyze Lightning games using multiple factors including offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NHL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions