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Final
Lightning
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Tampa Bay Lightning
Conference • Division
Record
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Division
Conference
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Team Analytics
Elo Rating History
Tampa Bay Lightning - 2026 Season
154615321517
Current Elo
1538
Season Change
-6
Season High
1544
Season Low
1519
Avg Change
-5.1
Games
2
Model vs. Market History
Tampa Bay Lightning - 2026 Season
Avg Edge
+12%
Model Edge Record
0-19
Model Edge Win %
0%
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Model | Market | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3 | Canadiens | H | 18% | 50% | -32% | Scheduled |
| May 1 | Canadiens | A | 87% | 50% | +37%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 29 | Canadiens | H | 6% | 50% | -44% | Scheduled |
| Apr 26 | Canadiens | A | 92% | 50% | +42%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 24 | Canadiens | A | 89% | 50% | +39%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 21 | Canadiens | H | 68% | 50% | +18%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 19 | Canadiens | H | 23% | 50% | -27% | Scheduled |
| Apr 15 | Rangers | H | 26% | 50% | -24% | Scheduled |
| Apr 13 | Red Wings | H | 77% | 50% | +27%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 11 | Bruins | A | 98% | 50% | +48%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 9 | Canadiens | A | 26% | 50% | -24% | Scheduled |
| Apr 7 | Senators | A | 6% | 50% | -44% | Scheduled |
| Apr 6 | Sabres | A | 94% | 50% | +44%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 4 | Bruins | H | 99% | 50% | +49%★ | Scheduled |
| Apr 2 | Penguins | H | 91% | 50% | +41%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 31 | Canadiens | H | 65% | 50% | +15%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 29 | Predators | H | 93% | 50% | +43%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 28 | Senators | H | 99% | 50% | +49%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 26 | Kraken | H | 59% | 50% | +9%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 24 | Wild | H | 75% | 50% | +25%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 23 | Flames | A | 26% | 50% | -24% | Scheduled |
| Mar 22 | Oilers | A | 90% | 50% | +40%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 20 | Canucks | A | 91% | 50% | +41%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 18 | Kraken | A | 89% | 50% | +39%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 14 | Hurricanes | H | 24% | 50% | -26% | Scheduled |
| Mar 11 | Maple Leafs | H | 83% | 50% | +33%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 10 | Oilers | A | 32% | 50% | -18% | Scheduled |
| Mar 8 | Maple Leafs | A | 86% | 50% | +36%★ | Scheduled |
| Mar 6 | Jets | A | 24% | 50% | -26% | Scheduled |
| Feb 26 | Maple Leafs | H | 17% | 50% | -33% | Scheduled |
Model divergence: our model gives this team >5% more probability than the market implies
Recent Games
View all Lightningrecent games →Frequently Asked Questions
The Tampa Bay Lightning play in the conference, division.
The Lightning play their home games in Tampa Bay.
We analyze Lightning games using multiple factors including offensive and defensive efficiency, injury reports, and historical performance to calculate win probabilities.
How We Analyze NHL Games
Learn about the factors behind our predictions