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Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Bruins logo
Bruins
Boston
5
vs
Flyers logo
Flyers
Philadelphia
1
BOS 76%24% PHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Boston Bruins 76% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Bruins:

  • Injuries. Bruins healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Bruins are 4-1 at home this season; Flyers are 0-5 on the road
  • Recent Form. Bruins (3-2) in better form than Flyers (0-3)

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VenueTD Garden
Boston, MA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Flyers (away)
Bruins (home)
24%
Win probability
76%
0
High-impact factors
2
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Bruins defeated the Flyers 5-1.

Our model predicted the Bruins would win with 76% confidence -- and they delivered. This was a high-confidence call that played out as expected.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Bruins and was a major factor: Bruins healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Bruins and was a major factor: Bruins are 4-1 at home this season; Flyers are 0-5 on the road
  • Recent Form favored the Bruins and was a notable factor: Bruins (3-2) in better form than Flyers (0-3)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Bruins have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Flyers have 4.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Bruins won 5-1

Bruins won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Bruins at 76%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Boston Bruins
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Boston Bruins
  • Recent FormFavors Boston Bruins
  • ELO RatingFavors Boston Bruins
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PHI
BOS
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours PHI|Favours BOS

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Bruins

Our Model76%

Flyers

Our Model24%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Bruins healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 3 out, 0 doubtful

Bruins

Home Field Advantage

Bruins are 4-1 at home this season; Flyers are 0-5 on the road

Bruins
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/10/2026, 4:45:01 PM

Key Players

Flyers

Dan VladarG
Joseph WollG
Jett LuchankoC
Denver BarkeyC
Sean CouturierC

Bruins

Michael DiPietroG
Jeremy SwaymanG
Pavel ZachaC
Morgan GeekieC
Casey MittelstadtC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Bruins has a 76% win probability, while Flyers has a 24% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at TD Garden in Boston, MA.

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