Edmonton Oilers at San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks 62% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Sharks:
- Injuries. Sharks healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 10 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Sharks are 3-1 at home this season; Oilers are 4-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Oilers defeated the Sharks 3-1.
Our model predicted the Sharks would win with 62% confidence, but the Oilers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Sharks and was a major factor: Sharks healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 10 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Sharks ELO 1458 vs Oilers ELO 1540 (diff: -82)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Sharks and was a contributing factor: Sharks are 3-1 at home this season; Oilers are 4-0 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Sharks have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Oilers have 10.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Oilers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors San Jose Sharks
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Jose Sharks
- Rest DaysFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Recent FormNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Sharks
Oilers
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Sharks healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 10 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Oilers
Sharks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Sharks has a 62% win probability, while Oilers has a 38% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA.