San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues 68% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Blues:
- Injuries. Blues healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Blues are 1-1 at home this season; Sharks are 1-2 on the road
- ELO Rating. Blues ELO 1509 vs Sharks ELO 1453 (diff: +57)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Sharks defeated the Blues 3-2.
Our model predicted the Blues would win with 68% confidence, but the Sharks pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Blues and was a major factor: Blues healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blues and was a notable factor: Blues are 1-1 at home this season; Sharks are 1-2 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Sharks and was a contributing factor: Sharks (2-1) in better form than Blues (1-2)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blues have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Sharks have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Sharks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors St. Louis Blues
- Home Field AdvantageFavors St. Louis Blues
- Recent FormFavors San Jose Sharks
- ELO RatingFavors St. Louis Blues
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Blues
Sharks
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Blues healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 6 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Sharks
Blues
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blues has a 68% win probability, while Sharks has a 32% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO.