Nashville Predators at Montreal Canadiens
Nashville Predators 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Predators:
- Injuries. Predators healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 5 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Predators defeated the Canadiens 5-2.
Our model predicted the Predators would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Predators and was a major factor: Predators healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Canadiens and was a major factor: Canadiens are 3-1 at home this season; Predators are 0-3 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Canadiens ELO 1525 vs Predators ELO 1472 (diff: +53)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Canadiens have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Predators have 1.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Predators won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Nashville Predators
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Montreal Canadiens
- ELO RatingFavors Montreal Canadiens
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Canadiens
Predators
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Predators healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 5 out, 0 doubtful
Home Field Advantage
Canadiens are 3-1 at home this season; Predators are 0-3 on the road
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Predators
Canadiens
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Canadiens has a 49% win probability, while Predators has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC.