Carolina Hurricanes at Montreal Canadiens
Carolina Hurricanes 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Hurricanes:
- Injuries. Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 5 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Canadiens ELO 1527 vs Hurricanes ELO 1573 (diff: -46)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Hurricanes defeated the Canadiens 6-4.
Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Hurricanes and was a major factor: Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Canadiens and was a notable factor: Canadiens are 3-0 at home this season; Hurricanes are 2-1 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Canadiens and was a contributing factor: Canadiens (1-0) in better form than Hurricanes (1-1)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Canadiens have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Hurricanes have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Hurricanes won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Montreal Canadiens
- Recent FormFavors Montreal Canadiens
- ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Canadiens
Hurricanes
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Canadiens 5 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Hurricanes
Canadiens
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Canadiens has a 45% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 55% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC.