Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres
Minnesota Wild 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Wild:
- Injuries. Wild healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form. Wild (2-0) in better form than Sabres (1-1)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Sabres defeated the Wild 3-2.
Our model predicted the Wild would win with 61% confidence, but the Sabres pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Wild and was a major factor: Wild healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Wild and was a notable factor: Wild (2-0) in better form than Sabres (1-1)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Sabres and was a notable factor: Sabres are 2-1 at home this season; Wild are 1-2 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Sabres have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Wild have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Sabres won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Minnesota Wild
- Recent FormFavors Minnesota Wild
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Buffalo Sabres
- Rest DaysNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Sabres
Wild
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Wild healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 5 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Wild
Sabres
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Sabres has a 39% win probability, while Wild has a 61% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY.