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NHL2026-27 season

Montreal Canadiens vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Next meeting

Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Canadiens logo
MTL
Montreal Canadiens
Upcoming
Penguins logo
PIT
Pittsburgh Penguins
MTL 65%35% PIT
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
100%
1 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
1
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Montreal Canadiens
  • Injuries — Canadiens healthier: 6 out, 0 doubtful vs Maple Leafs 10 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating — Maple Leafs ELO 1477 vs Canadiens ELO 1525 (diff: -48)
Pittsburgh Penguins
  • Recent Form — Penguins (4-6) in better form than Kings (2-4)
  • ELO Rating — Kings ELO 1470 vs Penguins ELO 1491 (diff: -21)

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