St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Blackhawks:
- Home Field Advantage. Blackhawks are 2-0 at home this season; Blues are 1-3 on the road
- Injuries. Blackhawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 4 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Blackhawks defeated the Blues 4-2.
Our model predicted the Blackhawks would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blackhawks and was a major factor: Blackhawks are 2-0 at home this season; Blues are 1-3 on the road
- Injuries favored the Blackhawks and was a notable factor: Blackhawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Blues 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Blues and was a notable factor: Blues (1-1) in better form than Blackhawks (0-3)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blackhawks have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Blues have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Blackhawks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- InjuriesFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- Recent FormFavors St. Louis Blues
- ELO RatingFavors St. Louis Blues
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Blackhawks
Blues
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
Home Field Advantage
Blackhawks are 2-0 at home this season; Blues are 1-3 on the road
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Blues
Blackhawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blackhawks has a 59% win probability, while Blues has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.