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Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Red Wings logo
Red Wings
Detroit
3
vs
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
6
DET 48%52% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Seattle Kraken 52% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Kraken:

  • Injuries. Kraken healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form. Kraken (2-2) in better form than Red Wings (1-2)

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VenueLittle Caesars Arena
Detroit, MI

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Kraken (away)
Red Wings (home)
52%
Win probability
48%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Kraken defeated the Red Wings 6-3.

Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 52% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Kraken healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Red Wings and was a contributing factor: Red Wings are 2-3 at home this season; Kraken are 2-2 on the road
  • Recent Form favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Kraken (2-2) in better form than Red Wings (1-2)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Red Wings have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Kraken have 3.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Kraken won 3-6

Kraken won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Kraken at 52%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
  • Recent FormFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SEA
DET
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Favours SEA|Favours DET

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/9/2026, 10:45:01 PM

Key Players

Kraken

Philipp GrubauerG
Joey DaccordG
Matty BeniersC
Berkly CattonC
Curtis DouglasC

Red Wings

Daniil TarasovG
John GibsonG
Sheldon DriesC
Mason AppletonC
Marco KasperC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Red Wings has a 48% win probability, while Kraken has a 52% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.

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