PlayDecoded
Menu

Pittsburgh Penguins at Columbus Blue Jackets

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Blue Jackets logo
Blue Jackets
Columbus
3
vs
Penguins logo
Penguins
Pittsburgh
2
CBJ 68%32% PIT
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Columbus Blue Jackets 68% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Blue Jackets:

  • Injuries. Blue Jackets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Blue Jackets are 3-1 at home this season; Penguins are 2-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

Make Your Prediction

View leaderboard to see rankings

VenueNationwide Arena
Columbus, OH

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Penguins (away)
Blue Jackets (home)
32%
Win probability
68%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blue Jackets defeated the Penguins 3-2.

Our model predicted the Blue Jackets would win with 68% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Blue Jackets and was a major factor: Blue Jackets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blue Jackets and was a notable factor: Blue Jackets are 3-1 at home this season; Penguins are 2-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Rest Days was neutral and a contributing factor: Similar rest: Blue Jackets (6 days rest) vs Penguins (1 day rest)
  • The Penguins are without 3 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blue Jackets won 3-2

Blue Jackets won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blue Jackets at 68%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Columbus Blue Jackets
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
Sign in to see factor scores, charts, and what-if simulations

What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

PIT
CBJ
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours PIT|Favours CBJ

Premium feature: factor breakdown

Start 14-day free trial →

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Blue Jackets healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 3 out, 0 doubtful

Blue Jackets
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/9/2026, 10:45:01 PM

Key Players

Penguins

Sergei MurashovG
Arturs SilovsG
Connor DewarC
Blake LizotteC
Tommy NovakC

Blue Jackets

Cam TalbotG
Jet GreavesG
Charlie CoyleC
Adam FantilliC
Sean MonahanC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blue Jackets has a 68% win probability, while Penguins has a 32% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, OH.

View all NHL games