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Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets

NHLregular โ€ข 2026-27 Season
completed
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
1
vs
Ducks logo
Ducks
Anaheim
5
WPG 47%53% ANA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Anaheim Ducks 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Ducks:

  • Injuries. Ducks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 5 out, 0 doubtful

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VenueCanada Life Centre
Winnipeg, MB

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Ducks (away)
Jets (home)
53%
Win probability
47%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Ducks defeated the Jets 5-1.

Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 53% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Ducks and was a major factor: Ducks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Jets and was a notable factor: Jets are 2-2 at home this season; Ducks are 1-2 on the road
  • Rest Days favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: Jets rest advantage (2 days rest) over Ducks (1 day rest)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Jets have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Ducks have 3.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Ducks won 1-5

Ducks won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Ducks at 53%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Anaheim Ducks
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Rest DaysFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • ELO RatingFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Recent FormFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

ANA
WPG
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours ANA|Favours WPG

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Jets

Our Model47%

Ducks

Our Model53%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Ducks healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 5 out, 0 doubtful

Ducks
Model version: 1.1.0 โ€ข Calculated: 10/9/2026, 11:45:01 PM

Key Players

Ducks

Ville HussoG
Lukas DostalG
Elijah NeuenschwanderG
Roger McQueenC
Ryan PoehlingC

Jets

Connor HellebuyckG
Stuart SkinnerG
Clay StevensonG
Cole PerfettiC
Mark ScheifeleC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Jets has a 47% win probability, while Ducks has a 53% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB.

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