Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets
Colorado Avalanche 55% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Avalanche:
- Recent Form. Avalanche (2-0) in better form than Jets (2-0)
- Injuries. Avalanche healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 4 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Jets ELO 1499 vs Avalanche ELO 1551 (diff: -52)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Jets defeated the Avalanche 3-2.
Our model predicted the Avalanche would win with 55% confidence, but the Jets pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Jets and was a notable factor: Jets are 1-2 at home this season; Avalanche are 0-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Recent Form favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Avalanche (2-0) in better form than Jets (2-0)
- Injuries favored the Avalanche and was a contributing factor: Avalanche healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Jets have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Avalanche have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Jets won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Winnipeg Jets
- Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
- InjuriesFavors Colorado Avalanche
- ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Jets
Avalanche
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Avalanche
Jets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Jets has a 45% win probability, while Avalanche has a 55% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB.