Seattle Kraken at Philadelphia Flyers
Seattle Kraken 59% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Kraken:
- Recent Form. Kraken (4-2) in better form than Flyers (0-5)
- Injuries. Kraken healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 4 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Flyers ELO 1462 vs Kraken ELO 1492 (diff: -30)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Kraken defeated the Flyers 3-2.
Our model predicted the Kraken would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Recent Form favored the Kraken and was a notable factor: Kraken (4-2) in better form than Flyers (0-5)
- Injuries favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Kraken healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 4 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Flyers ELO 1462 vs Kraken ELO 1492 (diff: -30)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flyers have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Kraken have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Kraken won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Seattle Kraken
- InjuriesFavors Seattle Kraken
- ELO RatingFavors Seattle Kraken
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Flyers
Kraken
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Kraken
Flyers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flyers has a 41% win probability, while Kraken has a 59% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.