Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers
Carolina Hurricanes 65% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Hurricanes:
- Recent Form. Hurricanes (4-1) in better form than Flyers (0-4)
- Injuries. Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 3 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Flyers ELO 1469 vs Hurricanes ELO 1589 (diff: -120)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Hurricanes defeated the Flyers 4-1.
Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 65% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Recent Form favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Hurricanes (4-1) in better form than Flyers (0-4)
- Injuries favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 3 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Flyers ELO 1469 vs Hurricanes ELO 1589 (diff: -120)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flyers have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Hurricanes have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Hurricanes won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- InjuriesFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Home Field AdvantageNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Flyers
Hurricanes
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
Key Players
Hurricanes
Flyers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flyers has a 35% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 65% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.