Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks
Carolina Hurricanes 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Hurricanes:
- Injuries. Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Blackhawks 3 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Blackhawks ELO 1438 vs Hurricanes ELO 1586 (diff: -148)
- Recent Form. Hurricanes (3-1) in better form than Blackhawks (1-4)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Hurricanes defeated the Blackhawks 5-2.
Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Hurricanes healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Blackhawks 3 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Hurricanes and was a notable factor: Blackhawks ELO 1438 vs Hurricanes ELO 1586 (diff: -148)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blackhawks and was a notable factor: Blackhawks are 3-0 at home this season; Hurricanes are 3-1 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blackhawks have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Hurricanes have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Hurricanes won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- Recent FormFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Rest DaysFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Blackhawks
Hurricanes
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
Key Players
Hurricanes
Blackhawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blackhawks has a 39% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 61% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.