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Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Islanders logo
Islanders
New York
4
vs
Blackhawks logo
Blackhawks
Chicago
1
NYI 67%33% CHI
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

New York Islanders 67% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Islanders:

  • Injuries. Islanders healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Blackhawks 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Islanders are 1-2 at home this season; Blackhawks are 0-5 on the road
  • Rest Days. Islanders rest advantage (2 days rest) over Blackhawks (1 day rest)

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VenueUBS Arena
Elmont, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Blackhawks (away)
Islanders (home)
33%
Win probability
67%
0
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Islanders defeated the Blackhawks 4-1.

Our model predicted the Islanders would win with 67% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Islanders and was a notable factor: Islanders healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Blackhawks 3 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Islanders and was a notable factor: Islanders are 1-2 at home this season; Blackhawks are 0-5 on the road
  • Rest Days favored the Islanders and was a contributing factor: Islanders rest advantage (2 days rest) over Blackhawks (1 day rest)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Islanders have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Blackhawks have 3.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Islanders won 4-1

Islanders won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Islanders at 67%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors New York Islanders
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors New York Islanders
  • Rest DaysFavors New York Islanders
  • Recent FormFavors New York Islanders
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CHI
NYI
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours CHI|Favours NYI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Islanders

Our Model67%

Blackhawks

Our Model33%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/8/2026, 11:15:03 PM

Key Players

Blackhawks

Arvid SoderblomG
Spencer KnightG
Anton FrondellC
Connor BedardC
Ryan DonatoC

Islanders

Semyon VarlamovG
Ilya SorokinG
Brayden SchennC
Bo HorvatC
Kyle MacLeanC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Islanders has a 67% win probability, while Blackhawks has a 33% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at UBS Arena in Elmont, NY.

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