Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes 59% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Hurricanes:
- Home Field Advantage. Hurricanes are 3-2 at home this season; Capitals are 2-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Injuries. Hurricanes healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Capitals 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form. Hurricanes (5-1) in better form than Capitals (3-2)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Hurricanes defeated the Capitals 4-2.
Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Hurricanes and was a contributing factor: Hurricanes are 3-2 at home this season; Capitals are 2-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Injuries favored the Hurricanes and was a contributing factor: Hurricanes healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Capitals 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days favored the Capitals and was a contributing factor: Capitals rest advantage (2 days rest) over Hurricanes (1 day rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Hurricanes have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Capitals have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Hurricanes won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- InjuriesFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Rest DaysFavors Washington Capitals
- Recent FormFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Hurricanes
Capitals
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Capitals
Hurricanes
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Hurricanes has a 59% win probability, while Capitals has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Lenovo Center in Raleigh, NC.