Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils
New Jersey Devils 61% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Devils:
- Home Field Advantage. Devils are 4-1 at home this season; Senators are 2-4 on the road
- Injuries. Devils healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Senators 5 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Senators defeated the Devils 4-1.
Our model predicted the Devils would win with 61% confidence, but the Senators pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Devils and was a notable factor: Devils are 4-1 at home this season; Senators are 2-4 on the road
- Injuries favored the Devils and was a notable factor: Devils healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Senators 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Senators and was a contributing factor: Senators (4-1) in better form than Devils (2-2)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Devils have 3 player(s) ruled out, while the Senators have 5.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Senators won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors New Jersey Devils
- InjuriesFavors New Jersey Devils
- Recent FormFavors Ottawa Senators
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Devils
Senators
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Senators
Devils
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Devils has a 61% win probability, while Senators has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Prudential Center in Newark, NJ.