Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators 61% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Senators:
- Home Field Advantage. Senators are 2-1 at home this season; Predators are 1-3 on the road
- Recent Form. Senators (3-1) in better form than Predators (2-1)
- ELO Rating. Senators ELO 1512 vs Predators ELO 1484 (diff: +27)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Senators defeated the Predators 3-2.
Our model predicted the Senators would win with 61% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Senators and was a notable factor: Senators are 2-1 at home this season; Predators are 1-3 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Senators and was a contributing factor: Senators (3-1) in better form than Predators (2-1)
- Injuries favored the Predators and was a contributing factor: Predators healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Senators 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Senators have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Predators have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Senators won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Ottawa Senators
- Recent FormFavors Ottawa Senators
- InjuriesFavors Nashville Predators
- ELO RatingFavors Ottawa Senators
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Senators
Predators
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Predators
Senators
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Senators has a 61% win probability, while Predators has a 39% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa, ON.