Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild
Vegas Golden Knights 62% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Golden Knights:
- Injuries. Golden Knights healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form. Golden Knights (5-1) in better form than Wild (3-1)
- ELO Rating. Wild ELO 1510 vs Golden Knights ELO 1561 (diff: -51)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Wild defeated the Golden Knights 4-2.
Our model predicted the Golden Knights would win with 62% confidence, but the Wild pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Golden Knights and was a major factor: Golden Knights healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Golden Knights (5-1) in better form than Wild (3-1)
- ELO Rating favored the Golden Knights and was a contributing factor: Wild ELO 1510 vs Golden Knights ELO 1561 (diff: -51)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Wild have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Golden Knights have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Wild won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Recent FormFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- ELO RatingFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Rest DaysFavors Minnesota Wild
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Wild
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Golden Knights healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Golden Knights
Wild
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Wild has a 38% win probability, while Golden Knights has a 62% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN.