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Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Panthers logo
Panthers
Florida
8
vs
Kraken logo
Kraken
Seattle
3
FLA 51%49% SEA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Florida Panthers 51% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Panthers:

  • Home Field Advantage. Panthers are 2-2 at home this season; Kraken are 5-3 on the road
  • ELO Rating. Panthers ELO 1515 vs Kraken ELO 1493 (diff: +22)

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VenueAmerant Bank Arena
Sunrise, FL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Kraken (away)
Panthers (home)
49%
Win probability
51%
0
High-impact factors
0
4
Players ruled out
4

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Panthers defeated the Kraken 8-3.

Our model predicted the Panthers would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Kraken healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Panthers 4 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Panthers and was a contributing factor: Panthers are 2-2 at home this season; Kraken are 5-3 on the road
  • Recent Form favored the Kraken and was a contributing factor: Kraken (5-2) in better form than Panthers (4-2)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Panthers have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Kraken have 4.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Panthers won 8-3

Panthers won by a solid margin

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Panthers at 51%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Seattle Kraken
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Florida Panthers
  • Recent FormFavors Seattle Kraken
  • ELO RatingFavors Florida Panthers
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

SEA
FLA
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours SEA|Favours FLA

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Panthers

Our Model51%

Kraken

Our Model49%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/17/2026, 9:45:02 PM

Panthers

Aleksander BarkovC(Lower Body)
OUT
Radko GudasD(Undisclosed)
OUT
Jonah GadjovichLW(Upper Body)
OUT
Brad MarchandLW(Leg)
OUT

Kraken

Jake O'BrienC(Lower Body)
OUT
Brandon MontourD(Lower Body)
OUT
Ryan LindgrenD(Upper Body)
OUT
Jacob MelansonRW(Chest)
OUT

Key Players

Kraken

Joey DaccordG
Philipp GrubauerG
Curtis DouglasC
Ryan WintertonC
Matty BeniersC

Panthers

Akira SchmidG
Jacob MarkstromG
Sam BennettC
Anton LundellC
Eetu LuostarinenC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Panthers has a 51% win probability, while Kraken has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL.

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