Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks 64% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Blackhawks:
- Injuries. Blackhawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Stars 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Blackhawks are 5-1 at home this season; Stars are 4-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
Make Your Prediction
View leaderboard to see rankings
Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Stars defeated the Blackhawks 4-0.
Our model predicted the Blackhawks would win with 64% confidence, but the Stars pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Blackhawks and was a major factor: Blackhawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Stars 5 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blackhawks and was a notable factor: Blackhawks are 5-1 at home this season; Stars are 4-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favored the Stars and was a contributing factor: Blackhawks ELO 1444 vs Stars ELO 1507 (diff: -63)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blackhawks have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Stars have 5.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Stars won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- ELO RatingFavors Dallas Stars
- Rest DaysFavors Dallas Stars
- Recent FormFavors Dallas Stars
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Blackhawks
Stars
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Blackhawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Stars 5 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Blackhawks
Stars
Key Players
Stars
Blackhawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blackhawks has a 64% win probability, while Stars has a 36% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.