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Winnipeg Jets at Chicago Blackhawks

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Blackhawks logo
Blackhawks
Chicago
4
vs
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
3
CHI 65%35% WPG
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Chicago Blackhawks 65% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Blackhawks:

  • Injuries. Blackhawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Blackhawks are 4-1 at home this season; Jets are 2-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Rest Days. Blackhawks rest advantage (2 days rest) over Jets (1 day rest)

Make Your Prediction

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VenueUnited Center
Chicago, IL

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Jets (away)
Blackhawks (home)
35%
Win probability
65%
0
High-impact factors
1
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Blackhawks defeated the Jets 4-3.

Our model predicted the Blackhawks would win with 65% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Blackhawks and was a major factor: Blackhawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Blackhawks and was a notable factor: Blackhawks are 4-1 at home this season; Jets are 2-2 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
  • Recent Form favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: Jets (4-1) in better form than Blackhawks (2-5)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blackhawks have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Jets have 6.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Blackhawks won 4-3

Blackhawks won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Blackhawks at 65%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Chicago Blackhawks
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
  • Recent FormFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • ELO RatingFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Rest DaysFavors Chicago Blackhawks
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

WPG
CHI
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Rest Days
Favours WPG|Favours CHI

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Blackhawks

Our Model65%

Jets

Our Model35%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Blackhawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 5 out, 0 doubtful

Blackhawks
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/15/2026, 11:45:02 PM

Key Players

Jets

Stuart SkinnerG
Connor HellebuyckG
Clay StevensonG
Viggo BjorckC
Adam LowryC

Blackhawks

Spencer KnightG
Arvid SoderblomG
Ryan DonatoC
Connor BedardC
Anton FrondellC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Blackhawks has a 65% win probability, while Jets has a 35% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.

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