Minnesota Wild at Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg Jets 59% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Jets:
- Injuries. Jets healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Jets are 2-3 at home this season; Wild are 2-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Rest Days. Jets rest advantage (4 days rest) over Wild (1 day rest)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Jets defeated the Wild 5-2.
Our model predicted the Jets would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Jets and was a notable factor: Jets healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: Jets are 2-3 at home this season; Wild are 2-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Rest Days favored the Jets and was a contributing factor: Jets rest advantage (4 days rest) over Wild (1 day rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Jets have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Wild have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Jets won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Winnipeg Jets
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Winnipeg Jets
- Rest DaysFavors Winnipeg Jets
- Recent FormFavors Minnesota Wild
- ELO RatingFavors Minnesota Wild
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Jets
Wild
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Wild
Jets
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Jets has a 59% win probability, while Wild has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB.