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NHL2026-27 season

Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Head-to-head win probability for NHL. Next meeting when one is scheduled, otherwise the most recent game. This season's results use the last pre-kickoff number.

Most recent meeting

Thu, Oct 15, 2026

Maple Leafs logo
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
4
vs
Sabres logo
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
5
TOR 57%43% BUF
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This season

2026-27 meetings. Pre-kickoff win probability and the result.

Model record on this matchup

Graded on the last pre-kickoff win probability, the same rule as the accuracy page. Preseason excluded.

Hit rate
0%
0 of 1 decided games
Meetings graded
1
2026-27
Correct calls
0
Favorite won

Factor comparison

Each team's top factors from this page's featured meeting.

Buffalo Sabres
  • Home Field Advantage — Sabres are 4-4 at home this season; Blue Jackets are 1-3 on the road
Toronto Maple Leafs
  • Home Field Advantage — Maple Leafs are 5-5 at home this season; Canadiens are 3-3 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)

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