Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks 54% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Blackhawks:
- Home Field Advantage. Blackhawks are 3-1 at home this season; Penguins are 2-3 on the road
- Injuries. Blackhawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 3 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Blackhawks defeated the Penguins 5-3.
Our model predicted the Blackhawks would win with 54% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Blackhawks and was a notable factor: Blackhawks are 3-1 at home this season; Penguins are 2-3 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Penguins and was a contributing factor: Penguins (3-2) in better form than Blackhawks (1-5)
- Injuries favored the Blackhawks and was a contributing factor: Blackhawks healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Penguins 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Blackhawks have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Penguins have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Blackhawks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- Recent FormFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- InjuriesFavors Chicago Blackhawks
- ELO RatingFavors Pittsburgh Penguins
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Blackhawks
Penguins
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Penguins
Blackhawks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Blackhawks has a 54% win probability, while Penguins has a 46% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at United Center in Chicago, IL.