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Carolina Hurricanes at Winnipeg Jets

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Jets logo
Jets
Winnipeg
2
vs
Hurricanes logo
Hurricanes
Carolina
3
WPG 33%67% CAR
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Carolina Hurricanes 67% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Hurricanes:

  • Injuries. Hurricanes healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating. Jets ELO 1496 vs Hurricanes ELO 1604 (diff: -109)
  • Recent Form. Hurricanes (6-1) in better form than Jets (4-1)

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VenueCanada Life Centre
Winnipeg, MB

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Hurricanes (away)
Jets (home)
67%
Win probability
33%
1
High-impact factors
0
4
Players ruled out
6

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Hurricanes defeated the Jets 3-2.

Our model predicted the Hurricanes would win with 67% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Hurricanes and was a major factor: Hurricanes healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 6 out, 0 doubtful
  • ELO Rating favored the Hurricanes and was a contributing factor: Jets ELO 1496 vs Hurricanes ELO 1604 (diff: -109)
  • Recent Form favored the Hurricanes and was a contributing factor: Hurricanes (6-1) in better form than Jets (4-1)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Jets have 6 player(s) ruled out, while the Hurricanes have 4.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Hurricanes won 2-3

Hurricanes won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Hurricanes at 67%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • ELO RatingFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Recent FormFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Rest DaysFavors Carolina Hurricanes
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Winnipeg Jets
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

CAR
WPG
Injuries
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Rest Days
Home Field Advantage
Favours CAR|Favours WPG

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Jets

Our Model33%

Hurricanes

Our Model67%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Hurricanes healthier: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Jets 6 out, 0 doubtful

Hurricanes
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/17/2026, 7:15:01 PM

Jets

Vladislav NamestnikovC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Garrett BrownC(Lower Body)
OUT
Elias SalomonssonD(Shoulder)
OUT
Josh MorrisseyD(Wrist)
OUT
Connor HellebuyckG(Suspension)
OUT
Walker DuehrRW(Lower Body)
OUT

Hurricanes

Jordan StaalC(Calf)
OUT
Seth JarvisC(Shoulder)
OUT
Alexander NikishinD(Contract Dispute)
OUT
Taylor HallLW(Upper Body)
OUT

Key Players

Hurricanes

Pyotr KochetkovG
Brandon BussiG
Jesperi KotkaniemiC
Mark JankowskiC
Sebastian AhoC

Jets

Connor HellebuyckGOUT
-8.0% win prob impact
Clay StevensonG
Stuart SkinnerG
Viggo BjorckC
Adam LowryC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Jets has a 33% win probability, while Hurricanes has a 67% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB.

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