Boston Bruins at San Jose Sharks
Boston Bruins 60% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Bruins:
- Injuries. Bruins healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 4 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Sharks ELO 1453 vs Bruins ELO 1520 (diff: -67)
- Recent Form. Bruins (4-2) in better form than Sharks (3-2)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Bruins defeated the Sharks 6-3.
Our model predicted the Bruins would win with 60% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Bruins and was a major factor: Bruins healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Sharks and was a notable factor: Sharks are 3-2 at home this season; Bruins are 1-3 on the road
- ELO Rating favored the Bruins and was a contributing factor: Sharks ELO 1453 vs Bruins ELO 1520 (diff: -67)
- The Sharks are without 4 player(s) due to injury, which could tilt the matchup.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Bruins won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Boston Bruins
- Home Field AdvantageFavors San Jose Sharks
- ELO RatingFavors Boston Bruins
- Recent FormFavors Boston Bruins
- Rest DaysNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Sharks
Bruins
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Bruins healthier: 0 out, 0 doubtful vs Sharks 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Bruins
Sharks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Sharks has a 40% win probability, while Bruins has a 60% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose, CA.