St. Louis Blues at Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild 51% to win. The biggest signal favoring Wild:
- Home Field Advantage. Wild are 3-1 at home this season; Blues are 2-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Wild defeated the Blues 5-4.
Our model predicted the Wild would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Wild and was a notable factor: Wild are 3-1 at home this season; Blues are 2-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Injuries favored the Blues and was a notable factor: Blues less affected by injuries: 7 out, 0 doubtful vs Wild 7 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Wild players matter more
- Rest Days favored the Blues and was a contributing factor: Blues rest advantage (2 days rest) over Wild (1 day rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Wild have 7 player(s) ruled out, while the Blues have 7.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Wild won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Minnesota Wild
- InjuriesFavors St. Louis Blues
- Rest DaysFavors St. Louis Blues
- Recent FormNeutral
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Wild
Blues
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Blues
Wild
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Wild has a 51% win probability, while Blues has a 49% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, MN.