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Boston Bruins at Los Angeles Kings

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Kings logo
Kings
Los Angeles
1
vs
Bruins logo
Bruins
Boston
4
LAK 38%63% BOS
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Boston Bruins 63% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Bruins:

  • Injuries. Bruins healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Kings 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form. Bruins (6-2) in better form than Kings (0-3)
  • ELO Rating. Kings ELO 1461 vs Bruins ELO 1531 (diff: -70)

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Venuecrypto.com Arena
Los Angeles, CA

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Bruins (away)
Kings (home)
63%
Win probability
38%
1
High-impact factors
1
1
Players ruled out
5

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Bruins defeated the Kings 4-1.

Our model predicted the Bruins would win with 63% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Bruins and was a major factor: Bruins healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Kings 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form favored the Bruins and was a notable factor: Bruins (6-2) in better form than Kings (0-3)
  • Rest Days favored the Kings and was a major factor: Kings rest advantage (3 days rest) over Bruins (back-to-back)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kings have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Bruins have 1.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Bruins won 1-4

Bruins won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Bruins at 63%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Boston Bruins
  • Recent FormFavors Boston Bruins
  • Rest DaysFavors Los Angeles Kings
  • ELO RatingFavors Boston Bruins
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Los Angeles Kings
  • Turnover DifferentialNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

BOS
LAK
Injuries
Recent Form
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Home Field Advantage
Favours BOS|Favours LAK

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Model vs. Market

Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities

Kings

Our Model38%

Bruins

Our Model63%

Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Bruins healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Kings 5 out, 0 doubtful

Bruins

Rest Days

Kings rest advantage (3 days rest) over Bruins (back-to-back)

Kings
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/18/2026, 12:45:01 AM

Kings

Alex TurcotteC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Jan JenikC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Jakub DvorakD(Upper Body)
OUT
Kevin FialaLW(Lower Leg)
OUT
Mats ZuccarelloRW(Undisclosed)
OUT

Bruins

Pavel ZachaC(Upper Body)
OUT

Key Players

Bruins

Jeremy SwaymanG
Michael DiPietroG
Pavel ZachaCOUT
0.0% win prob impact
Morgan GeekieC
Fraser MintenC

Kings

Anton ForsbergG
Darcy KuemperG
Samuel HeleniusC
Alex TurcotteCOUT
-0.4% win prob impact
Scott LaughtonC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Kings has a 38% win probability, while Bruins has a 63% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA.

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