Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles Kings 53% to win. The biggest signal favoring Kings:
- Injuries. Kings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 10 out, 0 doubtful
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Oilers defeated the Kings 4-1.
Our model predicted the Kings would win with 53% confidence, but the Oilers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Kings and was a major factor: Kings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 10 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Oilers and was a notable factor: Oilers (4-0) in better form than Kings (0-2)
- ELO Rating favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Kings ELO 1468 vs Oilers ELO 1546 (diff: -78)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Kings have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Oilers have 10.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Oilers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Los Angeles Kings
- Recent FormFavors Edmonton Oilers
- ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Edmonton Oilers
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Kings
Oilers
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Kings healthier: 5 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 10 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Oilers
Kings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Kings has a 53% win probability, while Oilers has a 47% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA.