Ottawa Senators at Philadelphia Flyers
Ottawa Senators 63% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Senators:
- Recent Form. Senators (6-2) in better form than Flyers (0-6)
- Injuries. Senators healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 4 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating. Flyers ELO 1454 vs Senators ELO 1515 (diff: -61)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Flyers defeated the Senators 3-1.
Our model predicted the Senators would win with 63% confidence, but the Flyers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Recent Form favored the Senators and was a notable factor: Senators (6-2) in better form than Flyers (0-6)
- Injuries favored the Senators and was a notable factor: Senators healthier: 3 out, 0 doubtful vs Flyers 4 out, 0 doubtful
- ELO Rating favored the Senators and was a contributing factor: Flyers ELO 1454 vs Senators ELO 1515 (diff: -61)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flyers have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Senators have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Flyers won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Ottawa Senators
- InjuriesFavors Ottawa Senators
- ELO RatingFavors Ottawa Senators
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Rest DaysFavors Ottawa Senators
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Flyers
Senators
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Injury Report
Flyers
Senators
Key Players
Senators
Flyers
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flyers has a 37% win probability, while Senators has a 63% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, PA.