Philadelphia Flyers at Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings 57% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Red Wings:
- Home Field Advantage. Red Wings are 2-5 at home this season; Flyers are 0-6 on the road
- Recent Form. Red Wings (1-3) in better form than Flyers (0-5)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Red Wings defeated the Flyers 2-1.
Our model predicted the Red Wings would win with 57% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Home Field Advantage favored the Red Wings and was a notable factor: Red Wings are 2-5 at home this season; Flyers are 0-6 on the road
- Injuries favored the Flyers and was a contributing factor: Flyers less affected by injuries: 4 out, 0 doubtful vs Red Wings 4 out, 0 doubtful, but the missing Red Wings players...
- Recent Form favored the Red Wings and was a contributing factor: Red Wings (1-3) in better form than Flyers (0-5)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Red Wings have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Flyers have 4.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Red Wings won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Detroit Red Wings
- InjuriesFavors Philadelphia Flyers
- Recent FormFavors Detroit Red Wings
- ELO RatingNeutral
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Flyers
Red Wings
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Red Wings has a 57% win probability, while Flyers has a 43% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, MI.