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Edmonton Oilers at Utah Utah Hockey Club

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Utah Hockey Club logo
Utah Hockey Club
Utah
2
vs
Oilers logo
Oilers
Edmonton
6
UTA 68%32% EDM
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Utah Utah Hockey Club 68% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Utah Hockey Club:

  • Injuries. Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 8 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage. Utah Hockey Club are 3-0 at home this season; Oilers are 6-0 on the road

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VenueDelta Center
Salt Lake City, UT

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Oilers (away)
Utah Hockey Club (home)
32%
Win probability
68%
0
High-impact factors
1
8
Players ruled out
2

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Oilers defeated the Utah Hockey Club 6-2.

Our model predicted the Utah Hockey Club would win with 68% confidence, but the Oilers pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a major factor: Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 8 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a notable factor: Utah Hockey Club are 3-0 at home this season; Oilers are 6-0 on the road
  • ELO Rating favored the Oilers and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club ELO 1518 vs Oilers ELO 1545 (diff: -27)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Utah Hockey Club have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Oilers have 8.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Oilers won 2-6

Oilers won by a solid margin

Prediction IncorrectWe predicted Utah Hockey Club at 68%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
  • Recent FormNeutral
  • Rest DaysNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

EDM
UTA
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours EDM|Favours UTA

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 8 out, 0 doubtful

Utah Hockey Club
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/18/2026, 1:45:01 AM

Utah Hockey Club

Maveric LamoureuxD(Shoulder)
OUT
Michael CarconeLW(Upper Body)
OUT

Oilers

Matt SavoieC(Lower Body)
OUT
Jason DickinsonC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Mattias JanmarkC(Undisclosed)
OUT
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC(Lower Body)
OUT
Atro LeppanenD(Undisclosed)
OUT
Alec RegulaD(Undisclosed)
OUT
Frederik AndersenG(Knee)
OUT
James StefanRW(Undisclosed)
OUT

Key Players

Oilers

Frederik AndersenGOUT
0.0% win prob impact
Tristan JarryG
Devon LeviG
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsCOUT
0.0% win prob impact
Mattias JanmarkCOUT
0.0% win prob impact

Utah Hockey Club

Karel VejmelkaG
Sebastian CossaG
Jack McBainC
Vincent TrocheckC
Kevin StenlundC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Guide

NHL Win Probability

How we calculate NHL game outcome probabilities

4 min readRead article

Frequently Asked Questions

Utah Hockey Club has a 68% win probability, while Oilers has a 32% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.

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