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Utah Utah Hockey Club at Edmonton Oilers

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Oilers logo
Oilers
Edmonton
2
vs
EDM 45%55% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Utah Utah Hockey Club 55% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Utah Hockey Club:

  • Injuries. Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 10 out, 0 doubtful
  • Rest Days. Utah Hockey Club rest advantage (2 days rest) over Oilers (1 day rest)

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VenueRogers Place
Edmonton, AB

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Oilers (home)
55%
Win probability
45%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Utah Hockey Club defeated the Oilers 4-2.

Our model predicted the Utah Hockey Club would win with 55% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a major factor: Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 10 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Oilers and was a notable factor: Oilers are 3-1 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 4-4 on the road
  • Rest Days favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club rest advantage (2 days rest) over Oilers (1 day rest)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Oilers have 11 player(s) ruled out, while the Utah Hockey Club have 2.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Utah Hockey Club won 2-4

Utah Hockey Club won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Utah Hockey Club at 55%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Edmonton Oilers
  • Rest DaysFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • ELO RatingFavors Edmonton Oilers
  • Recent FormFavors Edmonton Oilers
  • Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
EDM
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Rest Days
ELO Rating
Recent Form
Favours UTA|Favours EDM

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Oilers 10 out, 0 doubtful

Utah Hockey Club
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/16/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Key Players

Utah Hockey Club

Karel VejmelkaG
Sebastian CossaG
Jack McBainC
Vincent TrocheckC
Kevin StenlundC

Oilers

Frederik AndersenG
Tristan JarryG
Devon LeviG
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC
Mattias JanmarkC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Oilers has a 45% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 55% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB.

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