Toronto Maple Leafs at Utah Utah Hockey Club
Utah Utah Hockey Club 74% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Utah Hockey Club:
- Injuries. Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Maple Leafs 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Utah Hockey Club are 2-0 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 2-2 on the road
- Recent Form. Utah Hockey Club (4-2) in better form than Maple Leafs (3-2)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Utah Hockey Club defeated the Maple Leafs 5-4.
Our model predicted the Utah Hockey Club would win with 74% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a major factor: Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Maple Leafs 6 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a notable factor: Utah Hockey Club are 2-0 at home this season; Maple Leafs are 2-2 on the road
- Recent Form favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club (4-2) in better form than Maple Leafs (3-2)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Utah Hockey Club have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Maple Leafs have 6.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Utah Hockey Club won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Recent FormFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- ELO RatingFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
- Rest DaysNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Maple Leafs 6 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Maple Leafs
Utah Hockey Club
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Utah Hockey Club has a 74% win probability, while Maple Leafs has a 26% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, UT.