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Utah Utah Hockey Club at Buffalo Sabres

NHLregular • 2026-27 Season
completed
Sabres logo
Sabres
Buffalo
1
vs
BUF 41%59% UTA
Prediction Confidence:
Moderate

Utah Utah Hockey Club 59% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Utah Hockey Club:

  • Injuries. Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Recent Form. Utah Hockey Club (3-2) in better form than Sabres (2-2)

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VenueKeyBank Center
Buffalo, NY

Team Comparison

Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs

Utah Hockey Club (away)
Sabres (home)
59%
Win probability
41%
1
High-impact factors
0
0
Players ruled out
0

Post-Game Analysis

How our model performed

The Utah Hockey Club defeated the Sabres 4-1.

Our model predicted the Utah Hockey Club would win with 59% confidence -- and they delivered. Even with modest confidence, the model got this one right.

Looking at the factors our model weighed:

  • Injuries favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a major factor: Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 5 out, 0 doubtful
  • Home Field Advantage favored the Sabres and was a notable factor: Sabres are 3-2 at home this season; Utah Hockey Club are 3-4 on the road
  • Recent Form favored the Utah Hockey Club and was a contributing factor: Utah Hockey Club (3-2) in better form than Sabres (2-2)
  • Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Sabres have 5 player(s) ruled out, while the Utah Hockey Club have 2.

This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.

Utah Hockey Club won 1-4

Utah Hockey Club won in a close game

Prediction CorrectWe predicted Utah Hockey Club at 59%

Key Factors

What's driving the win probability for this game

  • InjuriesFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • Home Field AdvantageFavors Buffalo Sabres
  • Recent FormFavors Utah Utah Hockey Club
  • ELO RatingNeutral
  • Head to HeadNeutral
  • Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
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What's Driving This Game

Each factor's contribution to the final win probability

UTA
BUF
Injuries
Home Field Advantage
Recent Form
ELO Rating
Favours UTA|Favours BUF

Premium feature: factor breakdown

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Understanding the win probability calculation

Injuries

Utah Hockey Club healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Sabres 5 out, 0 doubtful

Utah Hockey Club
Model version: 1.1.0 • Calculated: 10/10/2026, 10:45:03 PM

Key Players

Utah Hockey Club

Sebastian CossaG
Karel VejmelkaG
Barrett HaytonC
Vincent TrocheckC
Kevin StenlundC

Sabres

Alex LyonG
Colten EllisG
Ukko-Pekka LuukkonenG
Sam CarrickC
Konsta HeleniusC

Learn About Our Analysis

Learn about the factors behind our predictions

Frequently Asked Questions

Sabres has a 41% win probability, while Utah Hockey Club has a 59% win probability based on our analysis.

Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.

This game is being played at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY.

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