Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights 69% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Golden Knights:
- Recent Form. Golden Knights (6-2) in better form than Flames (1-5)
- Home Field Advantage. Golden Knights are 4-2 at home this season; Flames are 1-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating. Golden Knights ELO 1562 vs Flames ELO 1434 (diff: +127)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Golden Knights defeated the Flames 6-2.
Our model predicted the Golden Knights would win with 69% confidence -- and they delivered. A solid prediction that lined up with the result.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Recent Form favored the Golden Knights and was a notable factor: Golden Knights (6-2) in better form than Flames (1-5)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Golden Knights and was a notable factor: Golden Knights are 4-2 at home this season; Flames are 1-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating favored the Golden Knights and was a notable factor: Golden Knights ELO 1562 vs Flames ELO 1434 (diff: +127)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Golden Knights have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Flames have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Golden Knights won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- ELO RatingFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- InjuriesFavors Vegas Golden Knights
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Medium impact1 factor
Key Players
Flames
Golden Knights
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Golden Knights has a 69% win probability, while Flames has a 31% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV.