Calgary Flames at Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks 59% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Ducks:
- Recent Form. Ducks (4-1) in better form than Flames (0-5)
- Home Field Advantage. Ducks are 2-2 at home this season; Flames are 0-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- ELO Rating. Ducks ELO 1481 vs Flames ELO 1426 (diff: +55)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Flames defeated the Ducks 4-2.
Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 59% confidence, but the Flames pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Flames and was a major factor: Flames healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 4 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Ducks and was a notable factor: Ducks (4-1) in better form than Flames (0-5)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Ducks and was a notable factor: Ducks are 2-2 at home this season; Flames are 0-4 on the road (divisional game, reduced advantage)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Ducks have 4 player(s) ruled out, while the Flames have 2.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Flames won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Calgary Flames
- Recent FormFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Anaheim Ducks
- ELO RatingFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Head to HeadNeutral
- Defensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Ducks
Flames
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Flames healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 4 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Flames
Ducks
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Ducks has a 59% win probability, while Flames has a 41% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Honda Center in Anaheim, CA.