Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames
Anaheim Ducks 51% to win. The top 2 signals favoring Ducks:
- Recent Form. Ducks (3-1) in better form than Flames (0-4)
- ELO Rating. Flames ELO 1433 vs Ducks ELO 1475 (diff: -43)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Ducks defeated the Flames 4-2.
Our model predicted the Ducks would win with 51% confidence -- and they delivered. A close call, but the model's slight lean proved correct.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Recent Form favored the Ducks and was a notable factor: Ducks (3-1) in better form than Flames (0-4)
- Injuries favored the Flames and was a contributing factor: Flames healthier: 2 out, 0 doubtful vs Ducks 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Rest Days favored the Flames and was a contributing factor: Flames rest advantage (2 days rest) over Ducks (1 day rest)
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flames have 2 player(s) ruled out, while the Ducks have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Ducks won in a close game
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- Recent FormFavors Anaheim Ducks
- InjuriesFavors Calgary Flames
- Rest DaysFavors Calgary Flames
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Calgary Flames
- ELO RatingFavors Anaheim Ducks
- Turnover DifferentialNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
Start 14-day free trial →Model vs. Market
Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Flames
Ducks
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
1 factor
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Ducks
Flames
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 49% win probability, while Ducks has a 51% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.