Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames 60% to win. The top 3 signals favoring Flames:
- Injuries. Flames healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Avalanche 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Home Field Advantage. Flames are 1-2 at home this season; Avalanche are 0-3 on the road
- Rest Days. Flames rest advantage (4 days rest) over Avalanche (1 day rest)
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Team Comparison
Head-to-head snapshot based on our model inputs
Post-Game Analysis
How our model performed
The Avalanche defeated the Flames 7-3.
Our model predicted the Flames would win with 60% confidence, but the Avalanche pulled off the upset. These outcomes are what keep sports compelling -- and help our model learn.
Looking at the factors our model weighed:
- Injuries favored the Flames and was a major factor: Flames healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Avalanche 3 out, 0 doubtful
- Recent Form favored the Avalanche and was a notable factor: Avalanche (2-1) in better form than Flames (0-3)
- Home Field Advantage favored the Flames and was a notable factor: Flames are 1-2 at home this season; Avalanche are 0-3 on the road
- Both teams are dealing with injuries -- the Flames have 1 player(s) ruled out, while the Avalanche have 3.
This analysis was generated from our model's pre-game assessment compared against the actual result. Factor accuracy helps improve future predictions.
Avalanche won by a solid margin
Key Factors
What's driving the win probability for this game
- InjuriesFavors Calgary Flames
- Recent FormFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Home Field AdvantageFavors Calgary Flames
- ELO RatingFavors Colorado Avalanche
- Rest DaysFavors Calgary Flames
- Offensive EfficiencyNeutral
What's Driving This Game
Each factor's contribution to the final win probability
Premium feature: factor breakdown
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Comparing our model against market-implied probabilities
Flames
Avalanche
Understanding the win probability calculation
4 factors
Injuries
Flames healthier: 1 out, 0 doubtful vs Avalanche 3 out, 0 doubtful
1 factor
Rest & Schedule
Low impact1 factor
1 factor
Other
Low impact1 factor
Key Players
Avalanche
Flames
Learn About Our Analysis
Learn about the factors behind our predictions
Frequently Asked Questions
Flames has a 60% win probability, while Avalanche has a 40% win probability based on our analysis.
Our model considers offensive and defensive efficiency, rest days, injury impact, and historical performance.
This game is being played at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB.